Written By B D Narayankar
Do you think BJP's defeat in Delhi Assembly elections is rejection of PM Narendra Modi and his regime? Or will it impact BJP in Assembly elections in various states in coming months?
#SocraticNarayankar: Dynamics do not remain constant - and its clear, when you take into consideration Delhi poll results and compare it with the results which went in favour of the saffron party in some parts of the country including Maharashtra a few months back.
The crazy TRP men, or television Rudaalis - were silly to assume that the loss in a fistful of by election setbacks in North India was a colossal rejection of Modi and his regime.
However, BJP bounced back to win elections in Maharashtra, Haryana and Jharkhand, and did the unexpected in Jammu and Kashmir.
Just because AAP has stopped the BJP juggernaut in Delhi does not mean that the outcome will necessarily have a nationwide impact.
What went wrong for BJP?
#SocraticNarayankar: It's time for the BJP to introspect hard on its monumental defeat. It has lost its most trusted supporters - read RSS and other saffron outfits - over the choice of chief ministerial candidate. The choice of Kiran Bedi did not go down well with RSS, which came out openly against her candidature, in its mouthpiece "Organiser".
The party which was sitting pretty in the earlier part of the exit polls, soon its popularity started to dwindle on the exit poll charts later - the kind of damage the article had done was evident till the final results poured out.
All went wrong for the BJP. It would have been a master stroke if it would have pressed for immediate elections after the resounding victory in the Lok Sabha polls.
But committed a strategic mistake of delaying the election in the hope to stitch together a government.
Compared to AAP's effective election campaign, BJP conducted a confused and personalised campaign, which also involved Modi who attacked its leader Arvind Kejriwal, an act which could have been avoided and in it the media found an opportunity to put both leaders on par.
So, what did AAP do things correct to pull off a victory?
#SocraticNarayankar: AAP must thank Congress for its victory as the Congress votebank shifted entirely to it.
As I said earlier, AAP ran an effective election campaign, during which it projected Kejriwal as the best bet for Delhi.
For me, the masterstroke from Kejriwal's stable was public apology for being a political absconder. This took the zing out of the opposition arsenal.
He also convinced people his street politics was out of compulsion, keeping people's interest in mind, not the first option.
Also, AAP could penetrate every household, right from poor to high income, besides minorities and Dalits - with a simple message that it could give an alternative kind of politics, with a committed leader as Kejriwal.
That the AAP secured the support from across all sections is reflected in big number of seats they won but also from the high voting percentage Delhi had recorded.
Its strategy of connecting with the voters through small, mohalla meetings and ‘personal’ campaign style helped swing sentiments in its favour.
Why Congress lost?
#SocraticNarayankar: Oh, come on! Congress is losing its relevance, nor it makes headline in media anymore. Less said about it is better.
#SocraticNarayankar: Oh, come on! Congress is losing its relevance, nor it makes headline in media anymore. Less said about it is better.
Only one thing can refurbish the grand old party of India - the political sanyas of the Gandhis for good! Or else, who knows, who would do a Jayanti Natarajan in coming days!
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